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The propensity interpretation is consistent
with Popper's particle interpretation of the quantum
theory, that he had advanced years before in Logic
of Scientific Discovery.
According to Popper`s particle interpretation
the Heisenberg uncertainty relations are statistical
scatter relations that describe the lower limits of
the dispersion of particles; they are not the upper
limits of the accuracy of measurements, as
Heisenberg maintains.
The uncertainty relations apply only to the
magnitudes that belong to the particle after the
disturbing measurement has been made.
The particle always has position and
momentum, and both position and momentum up to the
instant of measurement can be ascertained in
principle with unlimited accuracy.
It is not the impossibility of precise
measurement, but the statistical scatter that makes
it impossible to predict the path of the particle
after the disturbing measurement operation.
The scatter relations are statistical
predictions about paths, and the paths must be
measurable in order to test the statistical theory.
For these reasons Popper rejects Heisenberg's
view, as Popper sees it, that the uncertainty
relations express limits to our subjective knowledge
instead of expressing objective statistical scatter
relations, and that measurements are impossible due
to the nonexistence of the entities measured.
What is impossible is producing
scatter-free, dispersion-free quantum states.
The statistical laws add to our knowledge.
They do not set limits to our knowledge; they
set limits to the scatter relations and tell us that
the scatter is an objective reality that cannot be
suppressed.
The propensity interpretation solves the
problem of the relationship between particles and
their statistics, and between particles and waves.
Popper calls the Copenhagen wave-particle
dualistic interpretation the "great quantum
muddle.”
The great quantum muddle results from the
mistake of taking the probability distribution
function as a physical property of the elements of
the population.
Popper believes that this mistake is
historically due to the fact that the works of de
Broglie and Schrödinger led physicists to view the
wave as the structure of the particle, and thus to
view the particle as a "wave packet" or a
"wavicle.”
Popper maintains that the statistical wave
function is a property characterizing a sample space
and not a property of the elements of the sample
space.
The elements have the properties of a
particle.
The propensity interpretation achieves the
application of probability theory to single cases,
but it does not do this by speaking about single
electrons or protons; it speaks about propensities,
which are properties of each instance of the whole
repeatable experimental situation involving a
single particle.
Propensity statements in physics describe
properties of the situation, and are testable if the
situation is typical.
Popper accepts Lande's explanation of the
two-slit experiment, and he references what he
calls the Duane-Lande space periodicity formula.
The two-slit experiment is a space
periodicity experiment, in which the particle
interacts with the whole experimental situation
including the crystal.
More specifically from the viewpoint of the
propensity interpretation, it is the whole
experimental arrangement that determines the
propensities.
The possible results of any one experiment
are different in the case of both slits being open
from the case where only one is open; propensities
are dependent on possibilities, such that the
results will differ with different experimental
arrangements, one slit or two.
Thus in the two-slit arrangement the particle
will pass through only one of the slits and in a
sense will remain unaffected by the other slit.
What the other slit influences are the
propensities of the particle relative to the entire
experimental arrangement and not relative to the
particle itself: the propensities for reaching the
one point or the other point on the screen with the
two slits.
The Schrödinger wave equation enables the
physicist to determine the propensities, and it
entails the Heisenberg scatter relations, which
limit the possible predictions.
Popper states that Schrödinger had
anticipated one of the most important aspects of the
propensity interpretation, namely the objectivity
and reality of the waves in configuration space.
One of the features of Popper's propensity
interpretation is his thesis that the propensities
are real, just as forces are real, and he speaks of
propensity fields, just as contemporary physicists
are accustomed to speak of force fields.
The propensities are dispositional relational
properties of the experimental set up.
The waves are propensities of the particles
to take up certain states under the conditions of
the experimental set up, and the propensity waves
are therefore no less real than electromagnetic
waves.
Lande believes that if he admitted to the
reality of the Schrödinger wave, then like Born he
would have to make what he called
"concessions" to the Copenhagen dualistic
thesis.
Therefore Lande maintains that the Schrödinger
wave function interpreted as a probability wave is
merely a statistical function that is no more real
than a mortality table, which Lande did not view as
real.
But Popper uses Lande's criterion of
interaction, and argues that because the probability
waves can interact to produce interference, they
must be real, and are not merely mathematical
tables.
Popper supports Lande's rejection of the
Copenhagen dualism, but contrary to Lande, Popper
says that he prefers to speak of the particle and
its associated propensity fields, instead of
speaking of the particle and its associated
mathematical probability function.
In the 1982 introduction to Quantum
Theory and The Schism in Physics Popper proposes
a crucial experiment for deciding between the
Copenhagen interpretation and his propensity
interpretation of the uncertainty relations.
At issue is the subjective interpretation in
the Copenhagen view: whether knowledge alone is
sufficient to create uncertainty, or whether it is
the physical situation that is responsible for the
statistical scatter.
The experimental situation involves two slits
in two opposing screens, through which electrons
pass, one electron through each screen.
The sizes of the two slits are greatly
different, while the degree of inaccuracy in the
knowledge of the size of a slit is presumably
small relative to the difference in the slit sizes.
Popper expects different statistical scatters
from each of the slits, while the accuracy with
which the size of the slits is known, and is the
same for each slit.
On
Crucial Experiments and Scientific Revolutions
Unlike the Positivist philosophy of science,
which has been interred to its resting place in the
history of philosophy, Popper’s philosophy of
science is still a living philosophy in the sense
that it is still accepted and debated in the
professional literature.
Popper has addressed more than one generation
of philosophers during his lifetime.
Initially his philosophy was a critique of
the Positivists, who viewed his philosophy as an
unconventional novation, while today his philosophy
is criticized by the contemporary Pragmatists, who
view his philosophy as the conventional wisdom.
The central issue in which Popper represents
the conservative position is the problem of the
decidability of scientific criticism including most
notably the decidability of crucial experiments.
The origin of the problem is the thesis
shared by both Popper and the Pragmatists, and also
enunciated by Einstein, that theory determines what
is observed.
To the Pragmatists this thesis implies that
the description of the observed results from an
experimental test cannot be understood in the same
way by different scientists who maintain alternative
theories in an experimental test that is crucial in
the sense that it purportedly decides between the
alternative theories.
If theory determines what is observed, then
scientists maintaining different theories do not
observe the same thing, and the observed outcome
from the crucial experiment cannot decide between
the alternative theories.
To Popper on the other hand, Eddington’s
1919 eclipse experiment, which is widely regarded as
the historic crucial experiment deciding on behalf
of Einstein's theory of relativity, demonstrates
conclusively that crucial experiments are decisive.
It should be noted at the outset that even in
his earliest writings Popper maintained that
falsification is never finally and permanently
conclusive, because the singular basic statements
that are potential falsifiers may be revised, thus
occasioning the revision of a falsifying test
outcome.
The empirical test may be said to be conclusive
only to the extent that interested scientists agree
to accept certain basic statements.
Popper states that in some cases it has taken
scientists a long time before a falsification is
accepted, and that it is usually not accepted until
a falsified theory is replaced by the proposal of a
new and more adequate theory.
But Popper does not find this historical fact
to be problematic, even though in his view it is
responsible for having led the Pragmatists to accept
irrationalism and relativism in philosophy of
science.
In his introduction to Realism
and the Aim of Science he gives several examples
of successful falsifications, that furthermore have
led to important scientific revolutions.
If the development of Einstein's relativity
theory can be said to be the formative influence in
Popper's philosophy of science, then the development
of the quantum theory can be said to be the
formative influence in the contemporary Pragmatist
philosophy of science.
The topic of crucial experiments has assumed
its controversial status in the professional literature
due to the Copenhagen interpretation of quantum
theory.
The Copenhagen interpretation denies that a
crucial experiment can decide between the wave and
particle interpretations of microphysics, because
the electron has the properties of both wave and
particle.
Quine invoked Duhem's philosophy of physical
theory not only due to Duhem rejection of the
decidability of crucial experiments, but also more
fundamentally due to Duhem's thesis of the organic
character of the semantics of theory language in
physics.
In his "Two Dogmas of Empiricism"
Quine extended Duhem's thesis of the organic or
wholistic character of the semantics of physical
theory, to make it a general theory of the semantics
of language as such, including the language used by
physicists to describe observed experimental test
outcomes.
As a result of this extended thesis, which is
now conventionally called the Duhem-Quine thesis,
the wholistic character of the semantics of language
explains why crucial experiments are undecidable not
only in the wave-particle issue in quantum theory,
but also more generally for all scientific
criticism.
Even where one of the alternatives is the
Copenhagen dualistic interpretation, as in Lande's
list of seven interpretations, the crucial
experiment cannot effectively decide among them,
according to the contemporary Pragmatist philosophy.
The issue of crucial experiments has become a
focal point in philosophy of science for the larger
issues of the decidability of scientific criticism
and of the nature of the semantics of language in
general.
The historic transition from the Positivists'
naturalistic philosophy of the semantics of
language to the contemporary artifactual philosophy
of the semantics of language has thus resulted in
two alternative artifactual philosophies of the
semantics of language: The one is the organic or
wholistic thesis advocated by the Pragmatists, which
they use to attack the decidability of crucial
experiments and of scientific criticism in
general.
The other is the logical or mechanistic
thesis advocated by Popper, which he uses to defend
the decidability of crucial experiments and the
rationality of scientific criticism in general.
In his "Three Views Concerning Human
Knowledge" (1956) reprinted in his Conjectures and Refutations Popper discusses Duhem's views on
crucial experiments.
He notes that Duhem shows that crucial
experiments cannot establish a theory by refuting
its alternatives, and emphasizes that Duhem does not
say that theories cannot be refuted in crucial
experiments.
Popper maintains that crucial experiments can
be used to decide between alternative theories, as
occurs when a new theory in proposed as a superior
alternative to an older theory.
The new theory is tested by applying it to
cases for which it yields results that are different
from what is expected from the older theory.
He says that such cases are
"crucial" in the Baconian sense that they
indicate the crossroads between two or more
theories, but not in the Baconian sense that any
theory can be established.
Popper then turns to Duhem's thesis that in
every test it is not only the theory under
investigation that is tested, but also the whole
system of assumptions made by the theory, such that
it is never possible to be certain which of the
assumptions is refuted by the test.
Popper states that if the scientists consider
each of the two theories in the crucial test
together with all the background knowledge assumed
by both theories, then the scientists decide between
the two systems, which differ only over the two
alternative theories in the test.
Popper adds that scientists do not assert the
refutation only of one of the theories by the test,
but rather the theory together with the background
assumptions.
By this he does not mean that every statement
in the theory and its assumed background is refuted,
but only that there is at least one statement that
is erroneous, and that it may be in either the
theory or the assumed common background.
Thus he also says that in future tests parts
of the background knowledge may be rejected as
responsible for the falsification of the theory in
the current crucial test.
Popper then proposes to "characterize
the theory under investigation" in the crucial
test precisely as that part of the vast system of
knowledge for which the scientist has an alternative
in mind, and for which he has therefore designed the
crucial test.
This may be taken as Popper's basis for
individuating theories: theory a is distinguished
from theory ß, because a makes a claim or
statement than is an alternative to that made by ß,
and because a consists in the language that makes it
an alternative to ß.
Thus it may be said that Popper individuates
theories by reference to the theories' semantical
properties as manifested in the crucial test
situation. However,
Popper does not define theory language by
reference to the crucial test situation as such; he
often states that the background knowledge includes
theories other than the tested one.
In his philosophy, therefore, theory language
is any testable general statement regardless of
whether or not it is being tested, which is to say
that he defines theory by reference to its
syntactical property of universal quantification and
not by reference to its pragmatic properties.
Furthermore Popper's concept of theory
language may be contrasted with that of the
Positivists, who believed that it is possible to
define theory in terms of its semantical properties
by means of their distinction between theoretical
and observation terms; Popper rejects this
distinction.
In his "Truth, Rationality, and the
Growth of Knowledge" (1961) reprinted in Conjectures and Refutations Popper turns to Quine's use of Duhem's
philosophy.
Quine maintains a wholistic view of empirical
testing, and in his "Two Dogmas of
Empiricism" in From
A Logical Point of View he states that our
statements about the external world face the
tribunal of experience not individually but as a
corporate body.
Popper replies that this wholistic view of
tests, even if it were true, would not create a
serious problem for the falsificationist philosopher
of science.
He repeats his thesis that the fact that
scientists take a vast amount of background
knowledge for granted, is not to say that the
scientist must uncritically accept it; the
background knowledge too may be challenged and
tested.
Even though all of the background
assumptions may be challenged, it is quite
impossible to challenge all of the assumptions at
the same time.
All criticism must be "piecemeal",
which Popper says is only another way of saying that
the fundamental maxim of every critical discussion
is that one should "stick to the problem",
because the misguided attempt to question all
background assumptions merely leads to a breakdown
of critical debate.
Critics such as Feyerabend will view this
thesis as the Achilles heel of Popper’s philosophy
of science, its parallel postulate to be replaced
with the new Pragmatist philosophy of language.
Furthermore even though the falsification of
a theory does not reveal where the error is,
nevertheless it is still possible to find the
hypothesis that is responsible for the refutation,
i.e. to find which hypothesis is responsible for the
refuted prediction.
The fact that such logical dependencies may
be discovered is established by the existence of
independence proofs for axiomatized systems; these
are proofs that show that certain axioms of a system
cannot be derived from the rest.
Popper argues that the existence of such
proofs shows that Quine's wholistic view of the
global character of all empirical tests is
untenable, and that it explains why even without
axiomatized physical theories, the scientist may
still have an inkling of what has gone wrong with
the theory.
In Realism
and the Aim of Science Popper affirms as
historical fact, that scientists are sometimes
highly successful in attributing to a single
hypothesis the responsibility for the
falsification of a complex theory or of a system of
theories, and he argues that this success remains to
be explained if one adopts the wholistic view of
empirical testing.
In 1962 Thomas Kuhn wrote Structure
of Scientific Revolutions in which he used the
wholistic thesis to interpret the history of
science.
And in 1970 he defended his wholistic
interpretation against critics in Criticism
and the Growth of Knowledge.
The leading critic in this later book was
Popper, who contributed "Normal Science and its
Dangers.”
In his earlier statements in defense of the
decidability of crucial tests Popper did not
explicitly address the basis of the wholistic view
of testing, namely the thesis that the semantics of
language is wholistic.
The wholistic thesis of the semantics of
language means that the meanings of terms are
mutually determined in the context of the discourse
in which they occur, such that alternative contexts
consisting of alternative theories produce a
semantic ambiguity or equivocation that is
propagated through all of the related language.
Therefore when considering the alternative
theories investigated in a crucial test, all that
constitutes the background assumptions is ambiguous.
In other words there is really no common
background, because one semantical interpretation is
given to the language expressing the background
assumptions by one of the theories in the test and
another interpretation is given by the other theory
in the test.
Often the two alternative semantical
interpretations are spoken of as two different
languages, and there is said to arise a problem of
translation from one to the other.
This thesis is strategic to Kuhn's critique
of the Positivists, because the lack of any common
semantics for alternative theories that makes
impossible a common background for crucial tests,
also makes impossible a common observation language.
Kuhn maintains that the kind of scientific
progress that Popper describes with its crucial
experiments and falsifications can occur only
within a linguistic framework, and he calls this
type of scientific progress "normal science",
which Kuhn opposes to another type which he calls
"extraordinary science" or
"revolutionary science.”
Revolutionary science is a transition from
one language framework to another, where the term
"framework" in the discussion refers to
discourse having a univocal semantical interpretation
and associated ontology.
Popper rejects this theory of scientific
revolution as irrational, when he criticizes Kuhn in
Criticism and
the Growth of Knowledge.
While admitting that "normal
science" in Kuhn's sense does exist, Popper
argues that such normal science is dogmatic.
He says that science is essentially critical,
that it consists of bold conjectures controlled by
criticism, and that it may be called revolutionary
in this rational sense.
He rejects Kuhn's relativism, the thesis that
the linguistic framework cannot be critically
discussed, and he calls this "the myth of the
framework.”
Comparison of different frameworks is always
possible on Popper's view, and so is critical discussion
therefore.
Even totally different languages are not
untranslatable.
And it would be simply false to say that the
transition from Newton's theory of gravitation to
Einstein's theory is an irrational leap, and that
the two are not rationally comparable; the
transition to Einstein's theory was genuine progress
in comparison with Newton's.
Popper concludes that the myth of the
framework is in our time the central bulwark of
irrationalism, and that it exaggerates a difficulty
with communication and criticism into an
impossibility.
In place of criticism as is found in Popper's
falsification thesis, Kuhn proposes turning for
enlightenment concerning the aim of science to
psychology and sociology.
But Popper rejects this proposal, and states
that compared with physics, sociology and psychology
are riddled with fashion and with uncontrolled
dogmatism.
He believes that such a proposal is a
backward regression that cannot solve the
difficulty.
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