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BOOK V - Page 5
 
  KARL POPPER AND
FALSIFICATIONIST CRITICISM
 
 

 

          In his "The Rationality of Scientific Revolutions" in Problems of Scientific Revolution Popper distinguishes between the sociological and the logical or rational dimen­sions in the history of science, when he distinguishes ideological from scientific revolutions.  By an ideology he means any nonscientific theory, creed, or view of the world that is attractive or interesting to people including scientists.  He cites the Copernican and Darwinian revolu­tions as examples of scientific revolutions that gave rise to ideological revolutions, because each changed man's view of his place in the universe.  But these were also scienti­fic revolutions in so far as each overthrew a dominant scientific theory, the one a dominant astronomical theory, the other a dominant biological theory.  He also cites Einstein's relativity theory as a revolution, a truly scientific revolution, that gave rise to operationalism and supported Positivism, even though Einstein later rejected these ideologies.  And Popper also refers to the subjecti­vist interpretation of quantum theory as an ideology, although in 1982 he proposed a crucial experiment that he thought could decide against it.
          The wholistic thesis of the semantics of language is used by many Pragmatists to explain events that have been obser­ved in the history of science: the impediment that language creates both to the development of new theories and to the communication of new theories within a profession.  However, Popper relegates all semantical analysis to the status of a variation on the essentialist metaphysical thesis; in his autobiography in Philosophy of Karl Popper he admonishes the reader never to let himself be "goaded" into taking seri­ously problems about words and their meanings.  He maintains that words "merely" play a technical or "pragmatic" role in the formulation of theories, just as the letters in written words play such a role in the formation of the words.  Contemporary Pragmatists do not believe that language has so passive a role in concept formation and human cognitive processes, as Popper believes.  And it may be noted that contemporary Pragmatists are as anti-essentialist as Popper; one need only recall Quine's rhetor­ical ridicule that an essence is merely a meaning wedded to a word.  Popper's philosophy does not offer a theory of semantical description to reconcile the phenomenon of semantical change with his views on the decidability of criticism.
 

The Philosophy of Science

          Popper`s philosophy comprehensively addresses the four basic topics of philoso­phy of science.  His explicit rejection of the Positivist and essentialist naturalistic philosophies of the seman­tics of language represents a basic problem shift, a reconceptualization of science as viewed by philosophy of science. 

Criticism

          The central feature of Popper’s philosophy of science is his falsificationist criterion, and its consequent rejection of the naturalistic thesis of the semantics of language and redefinition of the concept of theory.  Theories are conjectures that are created by the human imagination, and similarly the meanings associated with the theories' constituent terms must also be created artifacts distinguished as world 3 objects.  The theories do not originate by any natural process such as induction, and similarly the constituent meanings are not determined by any natural process such as perception.  The theories are not permanently established by verification or confirmation, and similarly the meanings are not permanently established by virtue of any foundational ontology.  Theories are routinely falsified as a part of the progress of science.  The paradigmatic case for Popper is the transition from Newton's mechanics to Einstein's relativity theory.  Einstein's theory does not include Newton's as a special case, but rather contradicts and corrects Newton's theory, and therefore describes an alternative ontology.  And in such cases the new theory offers a higher degree of information content as indicated by the relative sizes of the classes of potential falsifiers, such that even before empirical tests are attempted, it is possible to recognize that the new theory is preferable if it survives the test.
          Crucial experiments are methodologically and historically important decision procedures in the progress of science.  In the case of the transition from Newton's theory to Einstein's theory a crucial experiment was performed in 1919, in which Einstein's theory made the more accurate prediction within the range in which the deviation between the two theories was experimentally distinguishable.  Crucial experiments are not only effective for deciding between theories, but are characteristic of the growth of science toward greater information content and verisimili­tude.  Popper rejects the wholistic variation on the arti­factual theory of meaning, because it implies that crucial experiments are invalid because the alternative theories cannot share common background assumptions with univocal semantics, and because it implies in general that scientific criticism is undecidable.  Both in his 1982 introduction to Realism and the Aim of Science and as early as his Logic of Scientific Discovery in 1934, Popper has maintained that the falsifying basic statements like all empirical statements cannot be verified, and that therefore it is impossible to prove conclusively that an empirical scientific theory is false.  He also states that every falsification can be tested again for motivating an agreement among interested scientists about the test outcome.  He maintains that there have historically been successful scientific revolutions, which were occasioned by successful falsifications, and he rejects the view that falsification plays no role in the history of science.  But he offers no theory of meaning description that would enable him to reconcile the phenomenon of semantical change with his thesis of crucial experiments and the rational growth of science.  Contrary to Kuhn, Popper maintains that communication problems are merely difficulties and not impossibilities.  But without a metatheory of semantical description for analyzing semantical change, Popper cannot explain why communication is not impossible, because he cannot explain why it is merely difficult.

Explanation

          Popper’s theory of scientific explanation has been called the hypothetico-deductive thesis.  In his chapter on theo­ries in Logic of Scientific Discovery he states that to give a causal explanation of an event means to deduce a statement that describes the event, using as premises of the deduction one or more universal laws together with certain singular statements called initial conditions.  Later in "Aim of Sci­ence" in Ratio (1957), reprinted both in Objective Knowledge and in Realism and the Aim of Science, he defines a causal explanation as a set of statements by which one describes a state of affairs to be explained, statements which he calls the "explicandum", by deduction from a set of explana­tory statements, which he calls the "explicans.”  The expli­cans must logically entail the explicandum, and it must not be known to be false.  Furthermore, the explicans must be independently testable, so that it is not ad hoc.  This means that the explicandum must not be the only evidence relevant to the explicans; the explicandum must have a variety of testable consequences, and especially consequences that are different from the explicandum.
          The Logical Positivist concept of explanation is also described as hypothetico-deductive in the above sense.  But there are also fundamental differences between Popper's and the Logical Positivists' views.  Of central importance to Popper's concept of scientific explanation is the thesis that causal explanation need not describe certain things, or in other words that it need not have a certain semantics describing a certain ontology needed to supply science with foundations, such as the phenomenolist ontology.  Popper's view therefore differs from the Positivist view that causal explanation must have a semantics with such ontological categories as sensations, elementary phenomena, or sense data.  And it also differs from the Romantic view of causal explanation in social science, which requires a mentalistic ontology.  In Poverty of Historicism Popper rejects the Romantic requirement of intuitive understanding of pur­pose and meaning produced by sympathetic imagination.  In its verstehen version this mentalistic ontological requirement for causal explanation in social science becomes a theory of scientific criticism.  He maintains that this requirement goes beyond causal explana­tion, and he proposes his doctrine of the unity of method in both natural and social science, the method that he des­cribes in Logic of Scientific Discovery.  In Popper's philo­sophy of science "causal explanation" is defined in terms of the function that theories perform in realizing the aim of science, and not in terms of some foundational ontology.  His view of causal explanation is the result of his rejection of the naturalistic philosophy of meaning.  Without the naturalistic theory of semantics there is no basis for requiring any particular ontology including the particular ontology's concept of causality, in order to be able to give a causal explanation.  Rejection of the natur­alistic thesis implies the rejection of all ontological criteria for causal explanation as well as the rejection of the distinction between observation language and theory language and of the idea of the existence of an ontological foundation for science.  Thus Popper says that explanation is of the known by the unknown in the sense of conjectural, instead of by the known in the sense of the permanently established foundation.  In this respect Popper is in the company of the contemporary Pragmatists; Quine for example calls the view that there are ontological criteria for causal explanation the "genetic fallacy.”
          Popper’s rejection of ontological criteria for causal explanation became compli­cated in later years by his idea of metaphysical research programmes.  The metaphysical research programme is not atemporal and eternal like the ontological foundations of the essentialists and of the Positivists.  It is part of the historical problem situation at a particular juncture in the history of a science, and it is also untestable at the point in time, and therefore “metaphysical” in Popper’s sense.  Most notably in Popper's view, at the given point in the history of the science the metaphysical research program functions as an ontological criterion for what constitutes a satisfactory explanation.  This complication arises from Popper's way of demarcating between science and metaphysics, which appeared many years before he introduced the idea of metaphysical research programmes into his philosophy of sci­ence, as he did in his later discussions of quantum theory.  As early as 1955 in "Demarcation Between Science and Meta­physics" in Conjectures and Refutations he states that all physical theories say much more than the physicist can test, and that whether this "more" belongs to physics or should be eliminated as a metaphysical element is not easy to say.  And in 1958 in "On the Status of Science and of Metaphysics" reprinted in the same book he says that one can discuss irrefutable metaphysical theories rationally in the sense that one can discuss their ability to solve the problems that they purport to solve, that is, in relation to their problem situation. 
          This complication has its origin in the residual status of metaphysics in Popper's philosophy.  Metaphysics for him contains a great heterogeneity of types of knowledge, which need have nothing in common, but their irrefutable character and therefore their nonscientific status.  Historically philosophers have not treated metaphysics in so residual a manner, but instead have offered positive characterizations of metaphysics, which have sometimes been called "transcendental metaphysics", and which are not typically viewed merely as protoscience.  For example issues such as realism versus idealism are viewed as transcendental and as incap­able of empirical resolution at any time.  In the concluding paragraph of the concluding section of the concluding volume of the Postscript, Popper states that there may be a criter­ion of demarcation within metaphysics between what he calls "rationally worthless" metaphysical systems on the one hand, and metaphysical systems that are worthy of discussion and thought on the other hand.  He does not characterize the basis for such a demarcation within metaphysics, but his motivation for recognizing the existence of protoscientific metaphysics within residual metaphysics seems clearly to have been the result of the influence of Kuhn.  In the 1982 "Introductory Comments" in Quantum Theory and the Schism in Physics Popper compares metaphysical research programmes to Kuhn's concept of paradigm, while stressing that metaphysical research programmes must be seen in terms of a situation that can be rationally reconsidered, and that scientific revolutions viewed as changes of paradigms are due to rational criticism.  In this context he references his 1975 "Rationality of Scientific Revolutions", where he distin­guishes between scientific and ideological revolutions, and then sets forth criteria for rational criticism of scien­tific revolutions like Einstein's even before any experimental testing is attempted.


 

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