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American
Journal of Sociology
The second sociological journal to which
Hickey sent his paper is the American
Journal of Sociology, (AJS) which was edited at
the time by a Mr. Edward O. Laumann at the
University of Chicago.
The journal acknowledged receipt of Hickey's
paper on 19 October 1979, and on 21 November 1979
Hickey received a rejection letter from the editor
together with statements of reasons for rejection
written by two referees.
These criticisms were even more Romantic than
those from Sociological
Methods and Research.
The first referee rejected Land's
opportunity-structure concept saying it is a clumsy
abstraction that is too vague to illuminate anything
about social change that is not obvious.
And then obviousness notwithstanding he says
in the next paragraph that he is simply not
convinced about anything reported in the paper, and
that the outcome is bizarre. He demanded
substantively informed investigations that specify
“concrete behavioral mechanisms.”
This is an argot for a Romantic sociology
that is a social psychology.
He also claimed that there is a
"burgeoning" literature reporting analyses
of the various influences of trends in factors and
speculated about factors that he thinks may be
useful for modeling, but he offered no citations.
Hickey replied that the critic should do his
own modeling and should not attempt to make Hickey
or any other author his research assistant as a
condition for publication.
Laumann’s second referee dismissed Hickey's
interpretation of the per
capita rates as theoretical hocus-.
Hickey's used of per
capita rates of voluntary associational behavior
relative to institutional groups to reflect degrees
of consensus about the respective institutional
cultural values.
He believes that there may be an analogy
between his treatment of cultural values and Nobel
laureate economist Paul Samuelson's treatment of
economic values in the latter's doctrine of revealed
preference set forth in "A Note on the Pure
Theory of Consumer's Behavior" (1938) and in
"Consumption Theory in Terms of Revealed
Preference" (1948).
Both papers are reprinted in The
Collected Papers of Paul A. Samuelson (1966,
Vol. 1). Samuelson
rejected the Austrian school’s Romantic concept of
utility as an introspectively known psychological
experience of economic value, and instead describes
consumer demand in terms of observed market behavior
revealing consumer preference patterns.
And just as a commodity's per unit price
measures economic value in the publicly observable
market transaction even though the price does not
characterize the economic value except in
association with the identified group product, so
too the per
capita rate measures institutional value in the
publicly observable group associational behavior
even though the per
capita rate does not characterize the social
value except in association with the identified
group. Another
analogy that is more familiar is a political
election outcome: a landslide election outcome is a
measure of a high degree of political consensus,
even though the election returns do not characterize
the mandate that the winning candidate brings to
public office. This critic also attacked Hickey's
use of his discovery system, and he said that the
computer program cannot replace the complexity of a
scientist's intuition.
Another Luddite sociologist! Hickey replied
that the manner in which a theory is created is
irrelevant to its empirical validity, and referenced
the early Pragmatist philosopher, William James, who
tersely said of worthy scientific theories: "By
their fruits ye shall know them, and not by their
roots.”
Hickey submitted his rebuttals to Laumann,
and on 30 July 1980 he received another rejection
letter with a brief criticism from a third referee
enclosed. The
third critic identified as an internal reviewer,
indicated that he had read the criticisms written by
the two other referees and the rebuttals submitted
by Hickey. In
his own criticism this third critic very briefly
summarized the other referees' objections, and then
maintained that Hickey does not understand the
fundamental objection to the paper: the need for
specific mechanisms.
The Chicago University web site identifies
Laumann as a 1964 Ph.D. sociology graduate of
Harvard University, which at the time was under the
influence of Parsonian Romanticism. Laumann is no
less a Romantic than his selected referees, and
Hickey believes was probably one of them.
In his Sexual
Organization of the City (2004) based on a local
Chicago survey, and in his Sex,
Love, and Health in America (2001), Social
Organization of Sexuality (1994), and Sex
in America (1994) all based on a larger national
survey, Laumann seeks interpretative understanding
of his survey respondents’ sexual attitudes and
behaviors. His
romantic approach is most explicitly set forth in
the chapter titled “Normative Orientations toward
Sexuality” in his
Social Organization of Sexuality.
Laumann’s chairmanship of the Chicago
University’s Sociology Department was preceded by
that of William F. Ogburn, who was a Positivist.
During Ogburn’s tenure there were vigorous
methodological debates in the university’s
sociology department.
Ogburn rejected the Romantic concept of
sociology, and maintained that any discipline that
does not imitate the methods of the physical
sciences is not truly a science.
He advocated quantitative analysis in social
science, demanded that the language of sociological
explanation refer only to observables features of
human behavior, and rejected the Romantics’
reference to subjective experience.
The Romantics won in these methodology
debates, and Laumann’s views are on the winning
side. He
became chairman of the department and editor of the
journal. His
selection of referees and rejection of Hickey’s
paper Hsuggests
he is no more sympathetic to contemporary Pragmatism
than to Positivism.
American
Sociological Review
The third academic sociological journal to
which Hickey sent his paper was American
Sociological Review, (ASR) the journal of the
American Sociological Association (ASA), which was
edited by a Mr. William H. Form at the University of
Illinois, Urbana.
Form acknowledged receipt of Hickey’s paper
on 13 March 1981.
On 10 April Hickey received a rejection
letter signed by Form with two referee criticisms
enclosed. The first referee criticism was typical of
the others.
He focused on the idea of theory, which he
distinguishes from the idea of model.
He purports that Hickey's model needs a
theory underlying the causal assertions embodied in
the equations, and says that while Hickey's model
satisfies statistical criteria, it does not make
substantive sense.
All this is from the Romantic argot.
He said that Hickey had distorted the
methodological views of Kenneth Land, which are set
forth in Land's "Formal Theory" in Sociological
Methodology: 1971, a book bearing an imprimatur
identifying it as an official publication of the
American Sociological Association.
In this paper Land distinguishes theories
from models, and proposes relating them with a
logical schema advanced for the natural sciences by
the Logical Positivist philosopher Carl Hempel. This
philosophical eclecticism by Land is possible,
because both Romantics and Positivists distinguish
theory and observation language semantically, even
though they reverse the role of semantics: the
Positivists such as Hempel believe that theory is
meaningless unless it is logically related to
observation language, while the Romantics such as
this critic believe that empirical models are
meaningless unless they are related to mentalistic
theory. He also says that the equations are
puzzling, that demographers will be amazed, and that
criminologists will be surprised.
These objections are not only irrelevant but
also dubious; for example examination of the U.S.
Federal Bureau of Investigation's Uniform
Crime Statistics reveals that the factors in
Hickey's equation would not be surprising to the
criminologist.
More importantly making familiarity a
criterion for scientific criticism results in
stagnation, and sociology has been stagnated by its
Romantic philosophy of science for decades.
The second referee selected by Form wrote an
arrogantly dismissive critique consisting of only
six sentences, a cynical caricature of criticism.
He wrote that the metatheoretical
considerations in the paper do not motivate the
actual analyses effectively, that little useful
theory is involved, that the particular analyses are
similarly little motivated, and that none of them
reflect the usually long traditions of research
attempting to explain the variables involved.
He also calls the paper an empiricist venture
that is utterly ineffectively related to the
empirical traditions involved in explaining the
equations. He
then attempts criticism about correlations and
trends that reveals his inexperience with data
analysis, and he concludes that these correlations
should not without much more thought be made a basis
for causal inference.
Ironically these reasons for rejection
actually would be reasons for acceptance in a mature
and productive scientific profession.
Deviation from tradition is never a reason
for rejection of a paper, and the critic’s
description of Hickey’s paper as an empiricist
venture reveals that irrelevant criteria are
actually operative, because science is fundamentally
nothing other than an empiricist venture.
Hickey calls this phobic anti-empiricism the
“sociologists’ disease”. Furthermore the
critic’s demanding much more thought is
irresponsibly uninformative.
In view of such rejection Hickey is not
surprised to have discovered later that Form has his
own alternative approach to the subject of
Hickey’s paper, which involves no modeling.
Form described his own approach in his
“Institutional Analysis: An Organizational
Approach” (1990), which he also summarized later
in his autobiography, Work
and Academic Politics. His organizational
approach was his style of sociology long before he
received Hickey’s submission.
In the 1990 article Form references his
earlier Industry,
Labor and Community (1960) as an illustration of
his organizational approach, and it is also
recognizably similar to that found in the last
chapters, “Industry and the Community” and
“Industry and Society” in his Industrial Sociology (1951). “Institutional Analysis: An
Organizational Approach” is not a report of new
empirical findings but rather is a proposal, which
to date has not advanced beyond the status of a
programmatic agenda.
Form defines an institution as a number of
interacting organizations (complexes) whose
boundaries are measured by the extent of their
contacts. He
says that norms, rules, regulations, and laws are
regularities that emerge from these interactions,
and that institutional analysis explains how these
regularities emerge, function, and change.
Therefore he says his organizational approach
to institutional analysis requires that norms,
values, ends, and related concepts should not be
used as independent variables in institutional
analysis, that he is reversing the traditional
approach, and that his procedure avoids a
circularity where they are asserted to exist and
then used to explain behavior. Form’s rejection of
circularity suggests that he had no exposure to
simultaneous-equation models.
Form uses the term independent variables, but
he does not propose any modeling, much less actually
do it. And
he offers no empirical basis for his excluding
institutional values from the role of independent
variables.
In his autobiography Form wrote that unlike
his predecessor editors he read every manuscript
submitted to the ASR, and wrote his own internal
review for every submission.
After viewing Form’s work style Hickey
believes that upon reading Hickey’s submission
Form found the paper’s alternative technical
approach unappealing if not actually threatening to
his own discursive organizational approach, because
Hickey has found no evidence that Form possesses the
technical skills for competing with the modeling and
simulation approach in Hickey’s paper.
In retrospect it is not surprising to Hickey
that Form rejected the paper.
Hickey submitted his rebuttals to Form on 6
May 1981. In his reply Hickey referred Form to an
elementary textbook in econometrics, and also
enclosed a brief annotated bibliography of the
relevant philosophy of science literature for the
edification of Form and his selected critics.
Hickey promptly received a drop-dead letter
in reply, in which Form told Hickey that apparently
Hickey does not understand the folkways of his
profession, that it is not normative for an article
to be resubmitted once it is rejected, and that if
this were not the practice, Form would spend his
life re-reviewing the same manuscript.
Ironically even in 1981 this was probably
true of Hickey’s paper even disregarding Form’s
advanced age (he was born in 1917).
Even today the typical Ph.D. sociologist
lacks the technical education for performing the
construction and simulation techniques used by
Hickey in his first-degree higher-order
difference-equation empirical model much less use
artificial intelligence.
Comments
These seven Sturm und Drang-style criticisms consistently reveal the domination
of the German Romantic philosophy of science in
American academic sociology making it more of a
humanities literature than an empirical science.
Is this consequential?
The practice of an anachronistic philosophy
of science yields a retarded science, and academic
sociology is a backward science in
extremis, if it can even be called a science
instead of a humanities literature.
In "Sociology's Long Decade in the
Wilderness" the New
York Times (28 May 1989) reports that
universities such as the University of Rochester in
New York and Washington University in St. Louis,
Missouri, have disbanded their sociology
departments, and that the National Science
Foundation has drastically cut back funding for
sociological research.
A graphic display in the article indicates
that since the mid-1970's the number of bachelors
degrees awarded with majors in sociology has
declined by nearly eighty percent, the number of
sociology masters degrees by sixty percent, and the
number of sociology doctorate degrees by forty
percent. Demand
for Ph.D. degrees is influenced by many factors not
specific to sociology, such as cyclical and secular
changes in economic conditions, and changes in
population size and demographic profile.
But the effects of these and other extraneous
factors can be filtered by relating the number of
sociology doctorates to the number of doctorates in
other fields. Data
for earned doctorates in various sciences are
available from the United States Department of
Education, Office of Educational Research and
Improvement.
Time series plots of the percent of earned
doctorates in sociology both relative to the number
of earned doctorates in economics and relative to
the number of earned doctorates in physics
corroborate the reported decline of academic
sociology, and validate the accuracy of Mr. Joseph
Berger's reporting for the New
York Times.
Berger's article also quotes a Mr. Stephen
Buff, identified in the article as the assistant
executive director of the American Sociological
Association, as saying that sociology suffers from
not being well defined in the public mind, and that
sociology is confused either with social work or
with socialism.
But contrary to Mr. Buff's explanation public
opinion is not operative in these decisions made
against academic sociology. Decisions to enroll or not to enroll in graduate schools of
sociology are made by students with undergraduate
majors in sociology; decisions to support or close
sociology graduate schools are made by knowledgeable
university administrators; and the funding decisions
of the National Science Foundation are made by staff
members who are among the best informed in the
nation. The
cause of these unfavorable decisions originates
within academic sociology; it does not lie with an
ignorant general public.
The article also quotes a more realistic
opinion by a professor Egon Mayer, a Brooklyn
College sociologist, who said that sociologists are
still teaching the same sort of thing that they
taught in the 1960's and 1970's, but are not as
convinced now that it is worth teaching, and are not
quite sure what it should be replaced with.
In Hickey's view sociologists will never know
what is worth teaching, until they discard their
Romantic dogmatism and adopt the contemporary
Pragmatist philosophy of science.
These reports are not encouraging to any
young man or woman with the option of graduate-level
studies in pursuit of a career in academic
sociology. As
a Ph.D. graduate in sociology he (or she, of course)
would find that there is little demand for what he
has to teach, and may expect that he might have to
pursue another occupation to earn a living.
And were he lucky enough to find employment
on the faculty of a university that still has a
sociology department, but formulated a view that is
contrary to the dominant Romanticism, he would find
that he cannot get published in the academic
literature. His
submitted paper would be rejected for reasons that
are a caricature of empirical criticism by an editor
who cannot distinguish contrary evidence from the
contrary opinions expressed by his selected
referees. And
were the submitting sociologist so audacious as to
presume to submit rebuttals to the comments of the
pontificating referees, he may find himself reading
a drop-dead letter from the editor saying that
apparently he does not understand the folkways of
the profession, that it is not normative for an
article to be resubmitted once it is rejected, and
that if this were not the practice the editor would
spend his life time re-reviewing the same
manuscript.
The effect of sociology's Romantic dogmatism
is not limited to academia.
It includes the profession's demonstrated
impotence to serve as a guide for the formulation of
effective social policy. The same New York Times
article also cites disillusionment resulting from
the failures of the Great Society programs of the
1960s', and reports that sociologists today find
they have lost Federal funding, must scale down
their projects, forsake new inquiries, and disguise
their work as anything-but-sociology.
Similarly in his Limits of Social Policy (1988) Nathan Glazer, Harvard University
professor of sociology and formerly an urban
sociologist in the Federal Housing and Home Finance
Agency during the Administration of John F. Kennedy,
writes that the optimistic vision of sociology
guiding policy by use of its knowledge of the fine
structure of society of how policy impinges on
family, neighborhood, and community has faded
considerably. Glazer observes that in trying to deal with the breakdown of
traditional structures, particularly the family,
social policies have weakened them further and have
made matters worse.
He cites as one noteworthy example the
welfare system, which he says undergoes continual
expansion and correction with input from social
scientists, but which nonetheless damages the
family, encourages family breakup, and encourages
fathers to abandon children, even though many of the
changes in the system were designed to overcome just
these untoward effects.
He notes that these outcomes have occasioned
the rejection of social engineering, which he
describes as the capacity of human foresight using
subtly graduated incentives and disincentives and
sharply focused programs, to affect human behavior
and to improve the human condition.
Glazer maintains that the most significant
limitation of the effectiveness of the social
policies formulated and implemented in the 1960's is
lack of knowledge.
However, sociology's failure in the crucible
of real-world social policy is not due merely to a
lack of knowledge that could be remedied by more
research in conformity with the Romantic philosophy
of science. Sociologists will never understand these
symptoms of failure, until they recognize the
pathogen infecting their professional culture: the
Romantic dogmatism that operates in their criteria
for scientific criticism and that imposes a
priori restrictions on their theorizing.
As it happens the eighth chapter of Glazer's
book "'Superstitions'
and Social Policy" could well be taken as an
expose of sociologists' failure to recognize latent
functions, and it amounts to a vindication of
Merton's theorem of social engineering.
As long as academic sociologists accept only
theories that reduce to a motivational social
psychology, much less to Romantic theories that
“make sense” in compliance with the verstehen criterion; as long as they reject Romantically
inexplicable latent functions and suppress
publication of empirically superior theories that
seem surprising or bizarre relative to the
sociologist's verstehen;
and most importantly as long as contemporary
Pragmatism remains a terra
incognita to the sociologists - sociologists
will continue to be incapable of contributing to
effective social policy, much less establishing
their profession as a well functioning and modern
empirical science instead of a philosophically
retrograde academic occupation.
Twentieth-century physics too had its
failures, but when physicists formulated the
relativity and quantum theories to remedy these
failures, they found that they had to unbundle the
ontological commitments which they had
conventionally bundled together with the empirical
criteria for scientific criticism, and then they had
to make a decision about which type of criteria
would operate as rules of evidence.
Their acceptance of the startlingly
counterintuitive but empirically superior relativity
and quantum theories led them to discard all
ontological criteria including but not limited to
those which they recognized as held over from the
Newtonian physics, even though the Newtonian
ontology had come to define what constitutes causal
explanation and what "makes sense" in
physics. Had
the physicists dogmatically adhered to the old
Newtonian ontology, neither relativity theory nor
quantum theory could have been accepted.
Instead physicists accepted theories
exclusively on the basis of their empirical test
outcomes. This
is Pragmatism as it evolved in the practice of basic
research in the Galileo-Einstein-Heisenberg
tradition, and then as it was later articulated
firstly by the physicists and then more
systematically by the contemporary Pragmatist
philosophers of science.
The optimism of the Great Society social
programs to which Glazer referred, has long ago
passed into history, even as sociologists continue
to bundle their ontological commitments to
Romanticism into their criteria for scientific
criticism.
Glazer's use of the term optimism in his Limits of Social Policy is an understatement; today only a
government of incorrigibly naive Candides would
again entrust the philosophically naive sociologists
with a guiding role in the formulation of social
policy. Before
these Panglossian professors of sociology can
restore their credibility with real-world social
policy administrators, they must overcome their
anachronistic Romanticism and accept the
contemporary Pragmatism, which rejects a
priori commitment to any ontology as a criterion
for scientific criticism.
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